Skip to main content

Projected population as of 1 January. By evolution scenarios and age groups

Projected population as of 1 January (base 2024). By evolution scenarios and age groups Catalonia. 2070
From 0 to 15 years From 16 to 64 years 65 years and over
Number of persons % Number of persons % Number of persons % Total
2025
Low scenario 1,166,482 14.4 5,317,797 65.8 1,593,883 19.7 8,078,162
Medium scenario 1,171,413 14.4 5,342,010 65.8 1,599,535 19.7 8,112,958
High scenario 1,177,011 14.4 5,369,972 65.9 1,604,303 19.7 8,151,286
2030
Low scenario 1,051,628 12.8 5,396,714 65.9 1,747,083 21.3 8,195,425
Medium scenario 1,094,624 13.0 5,552,001 65.9 1,782,832 21.2 8,429,457
High scenario 1,149,377 13.2 5,774,179 66.1 1,816,881 20.8 8,740,437
2035
Low scenario 972,645 11.9 5,310,552 64.7 1,922,672 23.4 8,205,869
Medium scenario 1,062,888 12.4 5,532,957 64.4 1,989,415 23.2 8,585,260
High scenario 1,178,933 13.0 5,835,492 64.4 2,053,912 22.6 9,068,337
2040
Low scenario 955,054 11.6 5,129,626 62.6 2,115,163 25.8 8,199,843
Medium scenario 1,100,100 12.6 5,415,121 62.0 2,220,464 25.4 8,735,685
High scenario 1,278,578 13.6 5,779,952 61.6 2,323,395 24.8 9,381,925
2045
Low scenario 960,615 11.8 4,913,736 60.2 2,289,840 28.0 8,164,191
Medium scenario 1,145,414 12.9 5,270,802 59.5 2,442,285 27.6 8,858,501
High scenario 1,370,998 14.2 5,704,479 59.0 2,594,153 26.8 9,669,630
2050
Low scenario 951,665 11.8 4,778,918 59.1 2,361,063 29.2 8,091,646
Medium scenario 1,154,685 12.9 5,221,757 58.4 2,565,819 28.7 8,942,261
High scenario 1,395,697 14.1 5,748,532 58.0 2,774,791 28.0 9,919,020
2055
Low scenario 926,280 11.6 4,688,144 58.8 2,364,886 29.6 7,979,310
Medium scenario 1,135,576 12.6 5,222,762 58.1 2,626,806 29.2 8,985,144
High scenario 1,384,507 13.7 5,845,623 57.7 2,902,048 28.6 10,132,178
2060
Low scenario 892,369 11.4 4,598,890 58.7 2,341,569 29.9 7,832,828
Medium scenario 1,110,001 12.3 5,217,504 58.0 2,665,585 29.6 8,993,090
High scenario 1,374,016 13.3 5,925,358 57.4 3,017,658 29.2 10,317,032
2065
Low scenario 861,355 11.2 4,506,304 58.8 2,298,625 30.0 7,666,284
Medium scenario 1,094,161 12.2 5,198,554 57.9 2,685,648 29.9 8,978,363
High scenario 1,382,934 13.2 5,979,943 57.0 3,121,442 29.8 10,484,319
2070
Low scenario 839,288 11.2 4,400,898 58.7 2,255,382 30.1 7,495,568
Medium scenario 1,091,200 12.2 5,160,327 57.6 2,702,240 30.2 8,953,767
High scenario 1,408,758 13.2 6,011,600 56.5 3,221,958 30.3 10,642,316
Source: Idescat. Population Projections (base 2024).

You can find other data on this indicator in the Basic indicators of Catalonia.

You can find more detailed results in the source of this indicator: Population Projections (PROJ).

Last update: April 7, 2022.

The purpose of the Population Projections is to describe the possible future population evolution, the structure by age and sex, and the territorial distribution.

Idescat updates the Population Projections in five-year cycles.

The current Projections are the Population Projections of Catalonia (base 2024).

The Population Projections (base 2024) provide data for Catalonia for the period 2024–2074 and for the areas of the territorial Plan, the provinces and the counties for the period 2024–2049. The starting point is the population as of 1 January 2024, in accordance with the Population Census 2024.

There are three projection scenarios: low, medium and high. Three hypotheses have been developed for each of the Projections components: fertility, life expectancy, internal migration, migration within the rest of Spain and migration abroad.

The medium scenario assumes a combination of medium fertility, medium life expectancy and medium migration (with the rest of Spain and abroad). This scenario is intended to reflect the most probable evolution of demographic growth and structure in Catalonia, in accordance with recent data. The medium scenario is considered as the reference scenario.

For further information about these statistics, you may check the Methodology.