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Projected population on 1 January. By evolution scenarios. Counties and Aran, areas and provinces

Projected population on 1 January (base 2024). By evolution scenarios. Counties and Aran, areas and provinces 2045
Low scenario Medium scenario High scenario
Alt Camp 48,438 54,007 61,678
Alt Empordà 146,186 164,725 192,224
Alt Penedès 118,048 133,542 156,398
Alt Urgell 20,451 22,463 23,403
Alta Ribagorça 4,280 4,662 4,903
Anoia 138,656 156,098 181,105
Aran 11,313 12,415 13,003
Bages 194,575 209,452 231,319
Baix Camp 219,063 245,836 283,552
Baix Ebre 86,322 93,982 102,532
Baix Empordà 150,150 167,651 193,623
Baix Llobregat 849,263 912,784 980,969
Baix Penedès 132,180 152,382 182,242
Barcelonès 2,304,259 2,456,244 2,567,801
Berguedà 44,396 47,678 52,498
Cerdanya 22,917 25,148 26,417
Conca de Barberà 20,159 22,306 25,228
Garraf 165,903 191,901 231,873
Garrigues 18,625 20,316 22,307
Garrotxa 72,169 79,261 89,982
Gironès 217,047 241,271 278,077
Lluçanès 6,070 6,473 7,048
Maresme 491,045 525,719 563,801
Moianès 17,534 18,861 20,571
Montsià 76,051 82,829 90,173
Noguera 40,120 43,786 48,159
Osona 180,574 194,018 214,587
Pallars Jussà 13,940 15,327 16,102
Pallars Sobirà 7,876 8,570 9,055
Pla d'Urgell 38,387 41,760 45,773
Pla de l'Estany 36,106 39,295 44,054
Priorat 9,290 10,311 11,695
Ribera d'Ebre 20,505 22,386 24,430
Ripollès 26,699 29,373 33,054
Segarra 23,864 26,053 28,664
Segrià 225,518 246,544 271,732
Selva 196,396 221,304 257,168
Solsonès 14,852 16,046 17,776
Tarragonès 286,149 325,767 381,888
Terra Alta 10,844 11,753 12,730
Urgell 41,895 45,631 50,025
Vallès Occidental 974,865 1,042,157 1,117,538
Vallès Oriental 441,211 470,414 502,473
Catalonia 8,164,191 8,858,501 9,669,630
Metropolità 5,065,878 5,412,969 5,738,662
Comarques Gironines 844,753 942,880 1,088,182
Camp de Tarragona 583,099 658,227 764,041
Terres de l'Ebre 193,722 210,950 229,865
Ponent 388,409 424,090 466,660
Comarques Centrals 457,767 492,324 543,819
Alt Pirineu i Aran 80,777 88,585 92,883
Penedès 549,786 628,476 745,518
Barcelona 5,926,399 6,365,341 6,827,981
Girona 863,101 963,048 1,109,296
Lleida 465,690 508,553 556,205
Tarragona 909,001 1,021,559 1,176,148
Units: Number of persons.
Source: Idescat. Population Projections (base 2024).

Last update: April 7, 2022.

Methodological note

The purpose of the Population Projections is to describe the possible future population evolution, the structure by age and sex, and the territorial distribution.

Idescat updates the Population Projections in five-year cycles.

The current Projections are the Population Projections of Catalonia (base 2024).

The Population Projections (base 2024) provide data for Catalonia for the period 2024–2074 and for the areas of the territorial Plan, the provinces and the counties for the period 2024–2049. The starting point is the population as of 1 January 2024, in accordance with the Population Census 2024.

There are three projection scenarios: low, medium and high. Three hypotheses have been developed for each of the Projections components: fertility, life expectancy, internal migration, migration within the rest of Spain and migration abroad.

The medium scenario assumes a combination of medium fertility, medium life expectancy and medium migration (with the rest of Spain and abroad). This scenario is intended to reflect the most probable evolution of demographic growth and structure in Catalonia, in accordance with recent data. The medium scenario is considered as the reference scenario.

For further information about these statistics, you may chek the Methodology.